Blas & Bonnie Coming This Week?

In my last post I indicated the Tropics were about to get active.  Based on NHC's latest probabilities, that appears to be more likely.   The Pacific has the higher chances (90%)for development while the NW Caribbean has increased to 40%,

Right now the disturbed weather over the Caribbean is just an open wave in the Easterlies.   Even if it does developed, it will not be our problem as we have a strong Atlantic ridge at the surface and a blocking upper high that will force the system westward into the Yucatan and southern Gulf. There is an upper low over Mexico that will drift to the west.

In the short term, the upper high will keep rain chances BELOW NORMAL for the next 2-3 days.

The real heat is under the upper high.  With the Bermuda high pumping south winds off the Gulf, 70+ dew points have surged into Chicago & South Dakota.    They feel as miserable as us!

Satellite & radar views show how limited shower coverage is with none on the North Shore.  Without the rain, it's June hot and don't expect much relief until rain chances go back up towards the end of the week.

Finally, I've mentioned how I liked to pick out features on satellite pics.   Back in Marine Corps boot camp in 1970, I learned about "June Gloom".  It happened when the marine layer (clouds/cool temps) swept inland over night and then lingered much of the day until the sunshine burnt off/evaporated the clouds.  52 years later, it's still happening.

The top view is 10 AM with the bottom from 3 PM.  Now look at a huge fire in Arizona north of Flagstaff.

The smoke plume drifts all the way into Colorado.  Speaking of drifting, look at the Saharan dust pouring across the Atlantic.

And you thought nothing is going on!  Stay tuned!