Saturday, June 4, 2022

Shear Proves To Be King For PTC # 1...

In 2022, where all the experts are banking on low wind shear during the heart of the hurricane season, the first tropical threat was never allowed to develop because of way too much wind shear, which is typical for early June.  Now that PTC # 1 has cleared the Florida coast, there still is the possibility it will be named Alex tonight as it moves over the Gulf Stream.  Right now there are still multiple centers but the t-storms are oriented SW-NE and not wrapping around any center.






So even if Alex is named, the 1st named storm will have had only minor (mainly flooding) impacts on the U.S.  There is nothing out there that we will follow for the next 7-10 days.  But the GFS is up to its old bias at 14 days bringing a storm into the southern Gulf.  


We have seen this before with nothing forming so I'm not getting nervous at all.





It;s a typical June weather map with the exception of no super heat except in south Texas.





Some rain is holding down the temps over the corn belt and our dew points have decreased as slightly drier air filtered in behind a weak front.  that front will return northward tomorrow bringing back our chance for a daytime heating storm.







The closest showers are west of Morgan City.  Note the north winds at most locations.





Without any tropical system or fronts coming, look for it to heat up next week.   That's call June/Summer as it's supposed to be hot.  Enjoy your weekend.  Stay tuned!

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