In fact, NHC did not increase the chances for development keeping it a modest 40%.
NHC did make it Invest 97 L which means computer model runs have started. RIGHT NOW, most keep whatever forms weak and curve it back out to sea never threatening the U.S. East Coast.
The Caribbean remains quiet with the cloud clusters over the Gulf more a function of several upper lows. We continue to benefit from daily storms and clouds and once again stayed below normal/average (92) for 18 straight days.
The surface weather map hasn't changed very much, but there is a cold front far to our north that will try to get close by this weekend.
The Saints are headed up to Green Bay in 2 weeks and that should be a pleasant change to practice in less heat & humidity. They're in the 70s this afternoon, but their dew point is only 60 versus our 73, That makes the air feel much different.
It's a little too early for us to see cold fronts, but models are hinting an eastern upper trough could deepen next week and bring a front down to us. It won't be much cooler, but less humid air would feel nice. Unfortunately, August fronts stall over the Gulf and have produce systems that develop into tropical storms/hurricanes (Alicia '83). Let's just enjoy the less hot for the rest of this week. Stay tuned!
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