Thursday, August 4, 2022

Hurricane Season Showing No Signs of Life, CSU LOWERS Total Number Of Storms...

Models and satellite views continue to show no signs of tropical activity in the Atlantic basin for the next 10-14 days.  Colorado State University today lowered their total number of named storms from 20 down to 18.  Since we have had 3 so far (Colin wasted name), that means in the next two months we'll have to see 17 storms to reach those numbers.   Each day we see nothing happening, I'm thinking total numbers could struggle to reach 10-12.






We see a number of swirls over water, but they are all upper level and not at the surface.   The Saharan Dust layer (SAL) remains very obvious, plus there are fast westerly winds over the Caribbean.   Wouldn't it be nice to see all storms stay away from the northern Gulf this summer?!!!




The area of "disturbed weather" remains over the Gulf, but it shows no signs of organization.  I find 2 upper lows (blue arrows) and a mid level low (yellow arrows) just south of our coast.  There is a hint of rotation, but surface pressures are not falling nor are wave heights rising.  





It's an August surface weather map with several weak fronts but no signs of cooer air except up over the Great Lakes/Midwest.  There is still a lot of Summer heat with Texas suffering a really hot season.  The weekly drought monitor confirms why Texas is hot.  It's very dry as the next graphic shows.




The severe drought extends to the west coast, however, the main corn belt has seen adequate moisture.  The western "monsoon season" has kicked in with some significant rainfall working into south & central California.


We briefly touched 90 degrees (normal 92) as above normal/average clouds & showers brought many cooler relief.  The next several days may see slightly lower rain chances resulting is hotter highs.




Bottom line, you can expect each day to be hot & humid with spotty showers/storms somewhere.  That's basic summertime in the South.   We can handle it for another 4-6 weeks.  October is coming!  Stay tuned!

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