Bob Breck's Blog: The Gap Between Storms Continues To Grow...

In my opinion, NHC hastily named Colin back in early July and it lasted less than a day. What bothered me was the center was over land when they named it. I called it a "wasted name" and if that didn't happen, we would easily have the longest gap between storms since 1995. If computer models are correct, the system out in the Atlantic (Invest 91-L) will not be named until Thursday Sept. 1st. making this zero for August on named storms. Geez, it actually should be July & August. The yellow arrow shows the center of 91-L totally exposed without storms.

Computer models bring 91-L north of the Islands & Puerto Rico when strengthening should occur. Not only will it be our next named storm (Danielle), but some models increase it to the season's 1st hurricane. Of note, the average date for the 1st hurricane happens by August 12th. Compared to last year, we already had 9 named storms & 4 hurricanes, 2 that were major. But something is different this year, but nobody seems to know what that difference is.

A cluster of clouds has developed south of Cuba with a tropical wave, but the color IR satellite shows no organized storms. This is the same system the GFS model had as a hurricane in the Gulf 10-14 days ago. None that model says nothing will develop. Speaking of the Gulf...

Skies are clear where the storms were yesterday. There is a surge of moisture heading into Texas that still could use more rain.

The surface weather map doesn't have much going on, which is typical for August.

Of note, look at the 70+ dew points up to St. Louis & even Detroit. They feel as bad as we do. Some drier air may sneak in from the northeast by Thursday, before a new surge of Gulf moisture comes back for the holiday weekend.