Ian's Track Shift trending Westward...

Last night I was encouraged by the location of Ian's center so far to the north over the Central Caribbean Sea.   However, look at what's happened over night.  The track has shifted back to the SW which means it is becoming more likely Ian will get into the Gulf & move up Florida's west coast instead of making the turn sooner and going up Florida's east coast.

NHC has shifted their track farther westward and, if correct, would follow yesterday's GFS solution instead of the Euro.  Let's keep watching to see if that westward trend continues later today.

For now, Ian is still in the formative stage, but it clearly is getting better organized.  Models are more accurate with well developed storms and Ian is expected to become that later today and tonight.  This still looks like Florida's storm with their west coast getting the brunt of the impacts.  If this westward trend continues, Disney World will have a couple of wet days, but the worst part of the storm should be towards Tampa/St. Pete.  Next update around 4 PM.  Stay tuned!