It's Almost Here, That Old Fall Feeling...

It won't be a sweaters & jackets front, but the first noticeably cooler and drier front will sweep through us after dark.  A vigorous upper low near Chicago is driving this airmass southward.   It is likely to stall over the northern Gulf, but it should give us 3-4 days of dry weather with comfy cool mornings, especially on the North Shore.

Under the clouds around Lake Michigan, it is quite chilly, but that air is not coming here.  You can see the real difference behind the front with the way lower dew points.

Those 40s & 50s DPs should allow many spots north to get into the 50s, but the 85+ degree waters of Lake P, will keep us generally above 70.  Still it should feel very nice.

A couple of showers have developed along the front, but they will quickly end as the sun sets.  Note northerly winds are already showing up shutting off any Gulf moisture. It may not be a strong front, but for mid September, we'll take it.   

The amazingly quiet 2022 Hurricane Season continues with very little signs of life.

I can find only 4 swirls to follow, none that present any danger to land.  Let's begin out in the Atlantic.

NHC gives both swirls a 20% chance to develop and that maybe generous.  I think the next 2 waves over Africa appear better organized and they will be something to watch for NEXT week.

What's left of Earl is spinning way out in the Atlantic with the Caribbean & Gulf mostly quiet.  There is a swirl down over the extreme southern Gulf, but the center of rotation is on land and NHC doesn't seem concerned, and neither should we.   So I thought, let's Google & ask why 2022 is so quiet.

The 1st web page says it's a "hostile environment" due to Saharan dust and the TUTT Lows.  I agree.  The next one points out it is the least active in over 30 years.  So my question for the hurricane experts, who get the government grants to study/research the Tropics is simple.  Why didn't anyone see this coming?  Most still cling to their belief that it will turn active, but they're running out of time.  With fronts coming, the clock is ticking for the switch to flip.  Let's hope it stays a flop!

Since the local weathercasters rarely show & point out features on satellite pictures, I will.  Remember the upper low over Chicago bring down the drier air?  Look at how much smoke is spewing from Montana into the northern plains even into Iowa & Minnesota.   The good news is moisture has increased along the West Coast with some rain falling.

Unfortunately, it's not nearly enough to dose the numerous fires.  It's like using a squirt gun when you need many high powered fire hoses.  Enjoy our front and stay tuned!