The disturbance off the African coast has gotten better organized and that could become our next named storm (Fiona) Yet another wave is just coming off of Africa. But this is totally normal/average.. Let's compare this year's activity to 2021. We already had 12 named storms, of which 5 were hurricanes & three were major hurricanes. So far in 2022 we have 5 named storms, of which 2 are hurricanes with zero being major. Earl may change that.
The clouds structure of Earl suggests he's becoming stronger and models show he will reach at least a Cat. 3 as he moves away from Bermuda. The island is under a Hurricane Watch since any slight shift to the west would bring major impacts.
The Caribbean is all quiet while the Gulf has that moisture band moving off the Texas coast into the central Gulf.. An upper low has sunk down over eastern Texas kicking the cloud band to the east. There appears to be a more concentrated cluster of storms off the mouth of the River & south of Pensacola. It has little time to develop before moving inland.
Whatever this weak system is, it brought slightly drier air, which coupled with PM sunshine allowed temps to soar to 90+.
Of course most of us want a real cold front to end our summer heat, but we'll have to wait until next week for that to happen.
The real heat remains over the western states as smoke from fires spread eastward over the Plains.
Some relief could reach southern California & Arizona as moisture from Hurricane Kay spread northward. Unfortunately, Kay is predicted to make a left turn away from the coast keeping most hot & Dry.
Locally we look to stay with basic summertime through the weekend meaning staying hot with spotty daytime storms. But look at next week. Drier air results in night time lows dipping into the 60s North of Lake P. Will that feel nice! Stay tuned!
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