Thursday, September 7, 2023

Welcomed T-Storms Bring Some Cooling Relief...

So my I-phone stopped working after being outside in the 97 degree heat.  Stuck it in my icebox, err, refrigerator and in an hour, Buda boom, it works.  Love technology!  Fortunately, the computer models were correct predicting late afternoon T-Storms as our high at MSY reached at least 97.  Your can clearly see those getting rainfall are 15-20 degrees cooler than areas staying dry.






These storms are out ahead of a weak cool front that will bring us drier air (lower dew points) for this weekend.






The real cool air will stay well to our north, but dew points in the 50s (north Shore) & 60s (South Shore) will make morning temperatures feel good.  We will see the upper trough over the eastern states bring down several surges of cooler & drier air.  I suspect we'll notice it later next week.




 As we approach the peak (Sept. 10th) of the hurricane season, that East Coast upper trough should be our friend.



As powerful Hurricane Lee approaches the SE U.S. coast next week, he should be steered to the north then NE away from land areas.  Only high surf, rip tides and coastal erosion will be the main issues.  But this is a major storm.





All computer models have this monster making the turn, but what if it doesn't?  The bigger the storm & the faster the forward movement, the harder it is to change direction.  






The top graphics are the NHC official track and we all know storms rarely go on a straight line.  The turn to the north doesn't happen until beyond the NHC 5 day Forecast.  If I lived in Florida or anywhere along the East Coast, I'd be watching Lee closely.  Let's pray that Lee remains well behaved and doesn't make an goofy moves that could place more people in harm's way.  For now, this will not be our storm.  Stay tuned!


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