Should we be concerned? Absolutely, but what are we supposed to do? Move? This is home & we have learned to cope as others do with Tornadoes & earthquakes. Next week I'll go over, as we do each year, what you must do BEFORE a hurricane threat arrives. NHC started mentioning yesterday an area well east of Florida that has a very slight change for development during the next 5-7 days.
This will never be an issue for us. There is another small swirl farther out in the Atlantic east of the islands.
NHC doesn't mention it yet and it's at a very low latitude which should take it into central America. So in the short term, the Tropics are no problem for us. My question is this. With "97% consensus" by most preseason hurricane forecasters that this will be the "season from hell", what if the numbers end up BELOW the averages of 14-7-3? Wrong solar cycle, too much Saharan dust, La Nina delayed? Boy will their credibility sink! Back to our local weather.
The number of severe storms today is far less, but there are several triggering heavy rains, lightning and large hail.
Note that even in the warm air sector, temperatures are not extreme. The heat dome over Mexico will not build over us. We will stay on the northern fringe that will keep us almost hot & mostly dry. NWS is indicating highs will approach records this weekend, but I don't see that since the center of the upper high stays over Mexico.
Another month from now, when the coastal waters are 85-90, that when we'll start to see those mid to upper 90s. But I promised to not talk about the heat each day between now and October and I'll try to keep finding things more interesting that the daily heat. Stay tuned!
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