Many of you look at the NHC website so I need not go over what they tell you. I try to give you my take on what I see and give my opinion on what we might need to watch down the road. As we all know, Debby is NOT a storm for LA/MS or AL coasts. The farther to the east, the higher the tides & seas. But we should see no impacts from Debby IN THE SHORT TERM (1-3 days) The GFS model does bring Debby back to the west into Alabama late this week by Thursday or Friday when yet another disturbance, east of Barbados now, might enter the SE Gulf. So much to talk about, but we begin with what we know. Tropical Storm Debby is moving to the north paralleling the west coast of Florida. She has a "wet side" and a "dry side".
There is a recent burst of T-Storms (red spot arrow) around the center and that may signal rapid intensification is beginning. Debby will be either a Cat. 1 or 2 at landfall in the Big Bend. Confidence is high for day one & two. However, what happens after that...Yikes!
Wholly molly! Say what?!!! And that's why they are referred to as "Spaghetti"! NHC keeps the heaviest rain totals around Charleston, but they have reduced the totals a little.
I don't know why since most models stall it for three days. Still 15-20" will cause major disruptions to life! What they don't show is the GFS backing Debby back into Alabama so I won't try and speculate on something that far out. What the GFS is picking up on is a wave near Barbados.
NHC has highlighted an area to watch this week, so we will. Why might Debby stall and then come back to the west? Glad you asked!
As advertised, the upper East Coast trough is pulling away and that will collapse the steering around Debby. She already has slowed down to N @ 12 mph. IF the Upper Heat Dome doesn't build south over us but more to our north, that might leave the upper flow along the northern Gulf out of the ENE. Could that bring what's left of Debby back? Just throwing things out there to watch. In the short term, we are hot & mostly dry. The circulation around Debby is bringing in lower dew points over us so the heat may not feel as bad?!!!
Yeah, that's 100 degrees for most of this week. Ugh! Finally, with temperatures so hot and humidity so high, picture yourself back in the 40s & 50s. You're in an air conditioned night club listening to the great Jazz singer Billie Holiday.
This is a recent painting Brenda did trying to capture what it was like watching one of the greatest singers. It's 30" x 30". IF you want to view more of Brenda's paintings, go to instagram@BRECKBRENDA or contact her; brendabreck@gmail.com. More in future posts. Stay tuned!
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