Once we get to late May, cold fronts either stop coming into the Deep South, or run out of forcing and stall near us. The last frontal boundary is difficult to find as there is no longer a temperature contrast north of it. There still is a dew point boundary with us in the soupy air (70+) while 50s & 60s are north of the Lake.
Today's slow moving T-Storms are more of the Sea Breeze Lake Breeze interaction. Lake Pontchartrain's water temps are some 8-10 degrees cooler than surrounding land areas. That creates a mini high/clear skies over the Lake.
Storms form along where the boundaries collide. We'll see this happen often during the summer when the surface wind regime is weak. Expect similar conditions through the weekend into next week. Today's storms were around us while the beaches were sunny. That could change day to day.
With so little changing, it's no surprise that the extended has us hot and humid with spotty storms every day (Useless). It's summer, Gang.
Finally, NHC keeps wanting to begin tracking storms somewhere. They have increased the probability for development in the EPAC to 70% for some time NEXT week!
If you look at the satellite loop, there is nothing there yet. They are basing their outlook on what models are hinting for NEXT week. The Atlantic? No problems as we head towards June 1st. Enjoy your weekend with family & friends as we kick off summer in the South.. Stay tuned!
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