Sunday, May 25, 2025

Alvin Coming To EPAC, Frontal Boundary Coming Late Week.

We have jumped from early May pleasantness right into the heat of summer as highs are in the 80s with dew points in the mid 70s.  If you don't get a spotty storm each day, temps will soar.  Today most of the storms are well north of us.  Over time this week, the boundary creating all the storms will slowly sag closer.



Today's model runs are hinting that we might even seen that boundary push through late week giving us lower humidity and less hot days.





So until this boundary gets closer, expect more of the same.



Notice the slight cooling for the end of the week.  That would be nice.  As we get closer to June, we start to focus on the Tropics.




IF we are to see an early June named storm (Andrea), it would form over the western Caribbean from the Central American Gyre.  That's a name given to the surface circulation at this time of the year over Central America.  No signs of that today or in model runs through 7-10 days.  In the Pacific...NHC is giving an 80% chance for development in the eastern Pacific.





Satellite views don't show much yet.  However, most models do form a storm south of the Baja by mid-week.  His name will be Alvin.  Enjoy the rest of the holiday weekend with your friends or family.  Stay tuned!

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