Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Central/Eastern Pacific Going Nuts, Atlantic Quiet, When Will It Flip.

I've often mentioned when the Pacific Basin is active, the Atlantic Basin is quiet.  Usually, that's because one basin is in the favorable (Rising air) phase of the MJO while the other is in the unfavorable (sinking air) phase.  That is obvious on today's satellite views. The top is the Pacific with the Atlantic on the bottom.



It seems every time a cluster of storms develop, they're gone the next day.  There is one broad swirl out in the middle of the Atlantic, but lots of Saharan Dust is on the north side, limiting any development.  No model does anything with this feature.



The bottom view clearly shows how the MJO is in the unfavorable (sinking air) phase.  Each day we go without a tropical threat means one day closer to Fall & cold fronts. There are clusters of storms along the northern Gulf coast, but these are mainly daytime heating-fueled storms.




I hate this time of the year as the weather moves so slowly resulting in extreme rainfall amounts in short time frames.




Many locations received much-welcomed cooling rainfall today.Look at how much less hot it is where it's raining.




Don't look for any significant changes for the rest of this week, except it could be several degrees less hot.  Finally...



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