Thursday, September 18, 2025

Ron Swoboda On Podcast, Gabrielle Struggling, Gulf Remains Protected

 Those of you who are subscribers to my new Podcast are enjoying learning about the life of former Ch. Sports Director, World Series hero ('69 Mets) & my golfing partner Ron Swoboda.  Not all podcasts will be about weather and tonight Ron relives the memory of his youth in baseball.  Coming up soon on future podcasts will be Bryan Norcross & Jim Cantore, but you can't watch them unless you subscribe for $2/month.  As they say, on deck tonight is Ron Swoboda.



The purpose of my podcast during hurricane season is to expand/supplement my WVUE Face Book post.  When things are quiet, like this year, I'll interview guests, offer garden tips and when the cold comes, explain what you need to do to protect your house & gardens.  The price is right.  Not right are current conditions in the Tropics for development.  The water vapor view shows lots of upper lows & troughs plus lots of dry air.


Several friends have told me they don't recall a hurricane season like this (no landfall threats) in their lifetime.   Until Gabrielle, this has been the longest stretch of no activity in the Tropics during the heart of the season since 1939!  We do have several areas of interest.



I'll begin with the circle off the African coast.  Even if it develops, records going back to 1950 show ZERO U.S. landfalls from a system forming that far out.  Forget about it.


The arrows point out swirls of clouds with the middle one being Tropical Storm Gabrielle. Note it has no storms around it except to the east.


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The only land area that might be affected by Gabrielle is Bermuda.  There is an interesting feature dumping rain on Puerto Rico.


Models do nothing with it despite it having a low level swirl.  NHC doesn't mention it in their outlook.  There remains a SW to NE boundary from the Caribbean to off the East coast.



No model except the A. I. develops anything in the Gulf during the next 2 weeks.  Here's the A. I.


Remember yesterday it had the system hitting south Florida.  No need to worry about something that far out as models just aren't that good.





In the short term, don't look for a front until sometime late next week at the soonest.  Another day above 90 today.



Gosh, I'm ready for Fall!  Stay tuned!















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