We begin October with no concerns in the Gulf or Caribbean. The twin storms (Humberto & Imelda) are racing out to sea with only Bermuda being impacted. Another area way out in the Atlantic is not likely to develop, while the swirl in the southern Gulf is showing some T-Storms around it.
Humberto barely has any storms left around it, while Imelda still packs a punch as she charges toward Bermuda tonight.
There are 2 small swirls over the southern Gulf, but no model develops anything so NHC isn't talking about it. The CPC (Climate Prediction Center) came out with their mid October outlook hinting we keep our eyes on the southern Gulf during the mid part of this month.
Every model tries to form something down there with the Canadian on top, followed by the Euro in the middle and the GFS at the bottom.
The Canadian is valid for 10-10, the Euro 10-14 and the GFS for 10-17th. The later we get into this month, the more likely anything that might form down there would be steered well to our south and east. It's another opportunity for me to plug my new podcast that goes into greater detail explaining any threats to us.
My guest coming up next week will be The Weather Channel's Jim Cantore. But you have to subscribe ($2/month) at bobbreck.com to see & hear Jim talk about his life & love for weather.
Until the upper flow changes across Canada, we will not see much heat relief.
Any cooling relief this week will come from increased rain chances along a weak boundary over the northern Gulf. and not from a cold front.
We really could use several days of soaking rainfall, but I'm not sold that will happen. We'll have to wait until after the 15th to get a real cold front. Stay patient Gang! Stay tuned!
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