One reason NHC isn't highlighting the northern Gulf for possible tropical development is the fact none of the main computer models indicate anything happening. The only models hanging on to something trying to form are the New AI models. Even they have backed off from future development for early next week. We begin with the Euro AI valid for NEXT Monday & Wednesday.
They seem to have something, but there is no closed low like yesterday. The GFS AI has something, but it doesn't look like much.
Again, they are hinting at something, but there's nothing there yet. So we keep watching and waiting. The other focus is on when will the disturbed weather all along the Gulf coast dissipate?
The current upper heat dome is shifting to the East Coast and will slowly push all the areas of low pressure back to the west. Our drying trend begins this afternoon and should last into this weekend. Of course, that will mean hotter temps in the 90s returning.
If you want to listen or watch today's Podcast, go to bobbreck.com to sign up. I give you my opinions as to why tropical development will struggle for the next few weeks. Don't forget the International Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo is coming next week. Go to tarponrodeo.org to sign up for a chance at winning the $10,000 Grand Prize. Stay tuned!
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