Several people have called asking if I can tell them about this weekend. If you have watched the various channels the past several nights, one thing you know is I have not flipped flopped like the computer models. As I have continued to state...you can't predict where "it" will go when you don't know where "it" is. We are beginning to know now that a closed circulation is forming west of Fort Myers. That will finally give computer models a true initialization point and then we can place more faith in them. That is why I have been very cautious not to over-hype this system by saying on-air that some models predicted a strong tropical storm or Cat. 1 hurricane here on Saturday. Without a starting point, the models are not reliable.
Having said all that, a Hurricane Hunter from Keesler AFB will be over this system during the next 2 hours. We should know then the exact location of our next depression/storm. The weekend? It'll depend on the track of the system. IF it stays to our east, we'll get the least and our weekend could turn out beautiful. IF it comes closer and even goes slightly to our west, we won't get the best and it could be a rainy, windy Saturday & Sunday. I'll have the next update by 4 PM CDT. Bob
1 comment:
Bob,
Thanks for keeping New Orleans so well informed, I know it's hard not to jump on that band wagon, but you do a great job of stating the facts! My question to you is being this tropical low is interacting with an upper level low shouldn't this hamper it's devolpment? Also if it does get it's act together what is your worst case for New Orleans?
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