Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Where's Da Oil?

Not that anyone is complaining, but it appears once again alarmists dominate the media regarding the current oil leak. 1st it was the strong SE winds over the weekend that would bring the oil into the LA. Marsh...but now we're told those strong winds and high wave action may have actually dispersed much of the oil. Then it was the high Spring tides that would bring the oil into the Marsh, but that didn't happen as now they say river flow from weekend rains may be flushing water out of the Marsh. The computer models say this, but the oil does that. Geez, is anyone else confused? Why can't the "experts" just say..."hey, we have never had a spill/leak of this magnitude in this part of the planet and we frankly, can't say for sure, based on the irregular coastline, weak tidal flows and Gulf currents coupled with frequently changing wind systems, where exactly the oil will go." My gut tells me the huge surge of water coming down the Mississippi from the flooding weekend rains over Tennessee may help keep much of the oil east of the mouth of the river and out of our Marsh. The gage in N.O. tonight rose half a foot to 6.8' and the Crest is expected to reach 14' on May 18th. Hopefully that surge/flow of water buys us enough time to allow the flow of oil leaking to be capped/stopped. If we can stop new oil from leaking, Mother Nature has a way of healing Herself. A salute to all government officials for being pro-active on this crisis. Waiting for someone to blame this on Global Warming/Climate Change !

10 comments:

Caveman said...

"As high pressure has drifted east of us tonight, winds have shifted back off the Gulf and are starting to increase. That is not good news as we have a major oil spill hovering less than 20 miles off the mouth of the Mississippi River." Breck

"My gut tells me the huge surge of water coming down the Mississippi from the flooding weekend rains over Tennessee may help keep much of the oil east of the mouth of the river and out of our Marsh." Breck

You seem to be in the same position as the gov't's. As conditions change so does everyones gut feelings on the oil slick. At some point the oil will wash up on shore, may be days or weeks but it will.

Bourbon St. Blues said...

After reading your latest blog, to me it just tells me how much of a force mother nature is...and mother nature will have its own roll in cleaning up this oil mess.

Not to mention we cannot seem to control mother nature and what she does either...

Bob Breck said...

CAVEMAN...thanks for sticking your neck out with that "prediction". That's what this blog is about...sharing ideas/opinions. You seem to enjoy putting previous ideas on well after the fact. I don't do that even tho I do remember the last time you gave your opinion regarding a hurricane landfall calling for it to go to LAKE CHARLES...it ended going up the east coast.

Paul Amedee said...

The simple fact is we cannot control nor predict mother nature. It is impossible. No matter how hard some people try to, it just can't be done. This also throws a wrench into the global warming activists theory.

Humans are just a small part of this planet. One day humans will go extinct like the dinosaurs. And the planet will keep going on.

Nashette said...

LOL Bob.....Just keeping my fingers crossed that this oil doesn't ruin our Gulf Coast beaches! I know fishing economy in LA. is being tested but those condos and hotels east of us on the coast will also suffer terribly if the beaches become "unswimmable". Bad timing with Memorial Day weekend coming up! Couldn't have happened at a worse time of year!

Nashette said...

Just planned a cruise down to Cozumel for Aug 28th.. Saying prayers that the Yucatan will be "hurricane free" and seas will be calm.....Not a great time to cruise but all my other cruises have been in colder weather and I'm dying to hit the pools on the ship!

Caveman said...

Speaking of hurricanes, what do you think about Dr. Masters now saying that it appears everything is setting up in place to have a extremely active season much like it was for Katrina?

Hurricane prediction: Louisiana will take a hit.

Quotes taken not well after the fact but just few days ago.

Nashette said...

Well Caveman, don't want to see any Louisiana hurricanes, but also don't want any Yucatan hurricanes! I paid dearly for this cruise and want nice weather, calm seas and beautiful sites in Cozumel, not downed trees, ugly beaches and destroyed countryside. IF we HAVE to have hurricanes, let them go up the East coast this year...Not that they need them but the gulf coast has suffered enough catastrophy. On a personal note, I doubt there will EVER be another year to compare with 2005 hurricane wise. Can't ever remember the names having to go that far into the greek alphabet and not just abc. Let's all pray we NEVER have to experience that type of season ever again!

ONLYREAL said...

I think its rather bold to say we will get struck by a hurricane this year, caveman. However, I will admit whats going on in the Atlantic right now is quite frightening and that are chances are well elevated. I will come out with a Hurricane Season Outlook either tonight or tomorrow depending on if I can get all this homework done.

ONLYREAL said...

Nashette,

SST's are currently running well above normal in the Tropical Atlantic and Caribbean. Infact, SSTA's in the MDR (Main Development Region) are the warmest that they ever have been since satellites began measuring in 1985 and they currently well surpass that of 2005. Latest Wind Shear anomaly maps show that wind shear is running well below normal in all areas in the Atlantic Basin south of 30N. I'm not saying we will see another 2005, but it will be a very active Hurricane Season and we cannot ignore what is currently going on.