Thursday, September 8, 2011
Model Contagion...
Afternoon update...I'm sure many of you noticed the morning models(VIPIR included) flopped from Mexico northward to the Gulf coast (LA to FL). Now the afternoon runs have flipped back to Mexico. Satellite loops show Nate stationary with the center not too far off the Mexican coast. Bottom line...no one knows where Nate will go since Nate is going nowhere. Even if Nate came straight northward to the mouth of the River, that wouldsn't happen until Monday, 4 days from now. We have plenty of time to wait and watch. There is no threat to us AT THIS MOMENT. Could that change? Absolutely, but my gut tells me it's 80% chance Mexico/Lower Texas with a 20% chance Central Gulf Coast. Relax, I'll have another update late PM or this evening.
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3 comments:
Did I just see the the GFS put the southern part of louisiana under the GOM, I didnt see a mexico or texas landfall. 204 hrs
Thanks Bob! What are your thoughts about Maria? For some reason I am getting more concerned about Maria than Nate at the moment. Please give your thoughts so I can relax a bit!
Nate isn't coming here!
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