Our 80 degree warmth in February gets me worried that we may again see a very active severe weather season across the Gulf South, maybe as bad as last year. In the next 10-14 days, we'll see some of the bitter cold that has remained way up in Canada dive into the Rockies and then head eastward colliding with the unusually warm, moist air streaming up from the Gulf. I fear a widespread outbreak of tornadoes will develop, not once but several times during the month of March continuing into April. Hopefully the storm track stays well to our north and keeps most of the nasty weather up away from us. Just a heads up as an active pattern is developing.
In the short term, we'll see record warmth on Friday as the highs should reach into the low to mid 80s (records are 81 MSY & A.P.). A cold front arrives predawn on Friday with some showers & maybe a T-Storm. Another upper disturbance will increase clouds on Saturday with some showers over running the cold surface air keeping us in the 50s most of the day. A slow warming begins on Sunday that will continue for most of next week. The cold air just doesn't hang around for more than 1-2 days in this non-winter of 2011-12.
3 comments:
Does the non winter also have any impact on the upcoming hurricane season? Just wondering....
Nope. it more than just water temperatures. The biggest factor will be whether we go from La Nina to El Nino conditions. El Nino gives us more wind shear over the tropics usually resulting in fewer storms.
When will we know if it'll be La Nina or El Nino conditions?
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