Some of our worse hurricanes have been the long track storms that formed way out in the Atlantic (near the Cape Verde islands) and developed into mega storms fueled by the warm waters of the Tropics. This year that season appears over as no computer models have anything forming out there during the next 10-14 days. That means our focus should be on the western Caribbean & the southern Gulf. We still have time for a strong storm to form, but I’m feeling pretty good about not having a major hurricane threaten us where we would need to evacuate. Remember, after the 1st week in October we have not seen a land falling MAJOR (Cat 3+) cross the Louisiana coastline and ZERO hurricanes in November. So optimistically speaking, we only have 2-3 weeks to really worry about a “big” one coming. Stayed tuned!
In the short term, we’ll stay summer like (90+) for the next 2-3 days before a surge of Gulf moisture increases our rain chances by the weekend. We’ll need to pay attention to another Gulf low that could form and head northward enhancing our chances for heavy rains Sat-Monday.
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