Geez, I’m always amazed how much weight folks give to computer models regarding systems that haven’t formed yet. Tonight we have a strong tropical wave moving westward over the Caribbean just southwest of Grand Cayman. Most computer models (including VIPIR) turn whatever is to form northward into the southern Gulf by Thursday. Many models bring this system straight towards the mouth of the River before turning it eastward to the Florida beaches for Saturday morning. VIPIR is WAY MORE aggressive on the eastward turn. In fact, VIPIR takes whatever forms almost due east towards Tampa Bay. Either way, we would remain on the dry side and have fairly nice weather here until a cold front arrives on Sunday. Again, history tells us October storms are 1) weaker and 2) usually turn to the east before getting to us. Stay tuned!
In the short term, we still have one more day of above normal clouds and showers due to a slow moving upper low over north Louisiana. Keep the umbrellas handy.
1 comment:
hey bob, what does the long range forcast look like for the week of the Washington Parish Fair Oct.14-19th for both precip $ Temps.
thanks, Henry
Bogalusa
by the way I have been having a booth at the fair for the past 10 years.
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