Thursday, August 24, 2017

Harvey Behaving So Far...

Really nothing new to report tonight.  NHC’s track looks good going in close to Corpus Christi early Saturday morning.   Forward motion remains at 10 mph and that will be the key over the next 5 days.  Many models (including VIPIR) are curving Harvey back to the WSW, however, the GFS & Euro still bring him back towards Louisiana.  Bottom line, the uncertainty beyond 2 days is extreme so to speculate where he will go is pretty useless.   David pointed out the rapid pressure drop from recon tonight.   That could mean NHC’s intensity forecast to Cat. 3 is on track.   Impacts for us Friday & Saturday will be minimal.  In fact, usually outside a hurricane’s circulation is descending air which would mean lower shower chances.  IF Harvey decides to head our way, our “crunch time” would not happen until Monday at the soonest, more likely Tuesday-Thursday.  So it’s watch & wait as usual.  Pray for our friends along the Texas coast the next 2-3 days.  Their rain totals could top 20-30”.  Stay tuned!

2 comments:

rcc015 said...

Thank you for your info! I wanted to see what you had to say about Harvey! Will stay and ride it out! New Orleans native who relied on your expertise in NOLA and still do!!

Bonnie said...

Thank you for your words of reason.