August typically has a “juiced up” atmosphere with deep tropical moisture providing the fuel for highly efficient downpours. Since we are in the transition period before cold fronts start coming, storms that bubble up during daytime heating have little motion besides being moved by sea breezes and/or outflow boundaries from earlier storms. That slow motion can result in several inches of rain falling in less than an hour causing some brief flooding. My house has been hit by such storms the past 2 days with my total being 4.07”. Obviously the ground is saturated and NWS has placed most of us under a Flash Flood Watch for Sunday & Monday as more slow moving storms are expected. In fact, this pattern could last into Tuesday before a weak front sags down to the coast bringing drier air for Wed-Friday. It won’t rain all the time, but our chances will be way above the August daily average of 40-50%.
The tropics remain dead around our part of the Globe and long range models have nothing forming for the next 7-10 days. That will get us almost to September, historically, the most active time of the year for hurricanes. Still plenty of time for problems, but I’m liking the way the Tropics are “trending”. Stay tuned!
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