As I previously mentioned, NHC has wasted a name on a storm that is so far out in the Central Atlantic that nobody cares. However, there has been a flare up of clouds approaching the islands east of the Caribbean tonight and NHC is thinking it might have a chance to briefly develop into our next named storm (Florence). None of the models have this strengthening as it reaches stronger wind shear, and this year is far different than last summer when every storms seemed to develop into a major hurricane. The MJO remains in the unfavorable (sinking air) phase plus there is high wind shear that wasn’t there last summer. Still we have reached “Prime Time” for hurricane development historically, so we need to pay attentions for the next 4-6 weeks, especially since the SSTs over the Caribbean & Gulf are warmer than normal. For now, none of the models have any threats in the Gulf for the next 7-10 days.
Locally, we hit 97 this afternoon and it did feel like we were in an oven. However, there was a breeze and some late PM cloud cover tempered the heat somewhat. As the upper ridge gradually breaks down, we should see a return of our wide scattered showers & T-Storms that are typical of most summer afternoon. I have been watering my potted plants daily and my yard/garden looks really great. However, we could use a good soaker as things quickly dry out when highs get beyond 94-95 every day. I expect those daytime heating bubble up storms each day as we head into the weekend. Just think, in 4 months we will be complaining about the cold and watching for the possibility of snow over the Deep South. Yea, right ! Stay tuned!
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