As I mentioned in my noon update, Louisiana was in the bullseye regarding the track for soon to be Tropical Storm Gordon. NHC has call it “Potential Tropical Cyclone” # 7 and they expect it to be upgraded before daybreak. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the FLA/AL border westward t Morgan City. The timing hasn’t changed regarding impacts here with Monday into early Tuesday being OK with winds & rain increasing by late PM into midday on Wednesday. RIGHT NOW, the projected path centerline is just south of NOLA keeping us on the higher impact side. We need that to shift farther to the north as any southward shift will keep the storm out over the Gulf longer increasing the chances to intensify even more. Since there are no planes investigating yet, the confidence in the information is only moderate. The 10 PM advisory tonight will confirm NHC’s 1st projected track, Based on the strength of the Bermuda High/Atlantic Ridge, I suspect the only changes coming in the next several days will be the timing. Location wise, Louisiana/Mississippi appear to be the main impact areas. This will NOT be a major Hurricane, but it could rapidly develop into a minimal one. I liked what Bruce Katz texted to the FOX 8 Family earlier today . “This will not be an evacuation type storm” except for those outside the levee protection system. Unlike Hurricane Isaac in 2012 that waddled off the mouth of the River for 2 days, soon to be named Gordon is expected to keep moving pushed around the strong Bermuda High. Next update around 10 pm. Stay tuned.
Clusters of T-Storms have flared over the NW Gulf with a low level circulation inland around Pt. Arthur. We were fortunate to be just outside the rain shield that made for an ugly Sunday over SW LA and east Texas. It should continue to move NW away from us.
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