David showed the U.S, Drought monitor map last night that indicated only 2% of the country had any type of drought, the lowest amount since tracking began back in 2000. Week after week of excessive rainfall has much of the nation too wet. It reminds me on this date back in 1995 NOLA received 15-20+" of rain over a two to three day period. A slow moving cold front staggered into south LA/MS & stalled triggering wave after wave of heavy T-Storms. We have a similar situation developing tonight, except RIGHT NOW, the heaviest amounts appear to be focused on the upper Texas coast across central Louisiana into Mississippi. We will need to pay attention to this boundary as only a small shift to the east would bring the heavy rain threat closer to us. The Weather Channel said the hourly rate over Sugarland, TX. yesterday was 6.5"/hr. IF that happened here, our pumps would be overwhelmed. Trying to time a rain event is often difficult as models struggle to handle a stalled boundary. Suffice to say, you'll need to be aware of the heavy rain potential that could come our way.
There is a huge upper air trough stuck over the Rockies that will have several disturbances eject out of it during the next 3-4 days. It's not going to rain all the time and there will be many dry hours, however, where it does rain the rates are likely to be intense as we are in a very deep layer of tropical moisture. Stay tuned!
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