Watching David's early programs, I had to chuckle as he tried to explain NOAA's 2019 Hurricane Forecast. He stated he is not a fan of these preseason forecasts, and seeing what NOAA came out with, you can understand why. A "normal/average" season sees 12 named storms. NOAA predicts between 9-15 named storms with a 30% chance of above normal activity, 30% for normal activity and 30% chance for below normal activity. Huh? Of what, if any, value is that? Totally useless and an insult to our intelligence. Hey, we know where we live, we know each Summer/Fall we'll probably have a threat or 2 in the Gulf and we know we must be prepared to take action if required. I, for one, believe these preseason forecasts are mainly blowing smoke and offer little value for most of us. Perhaps some researcher might find a hidden nugget of helpful information. For me, why bother?
The current hot & dry pattern will last into next week. There are signs that the upper ridge will finally break down allowing for some daytime heating storms by next Wednesday. Until then, enjoy the heat! Stay tuned!
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