Monday, July 8, 2019

Barry May Bring Heat Relief...

Computer models are coming into agreement regarding tropical development over the northern Gulf Wednesday-Friday.  NHC has increased the probability for development to 80% meaning low pressure will form & be named (Barry) maybe as soon as Wednesday.  Currently, there is NOTHING there to track.  I'm baffled why TV weathercasters don't use the visible (daylight) loop (Bruce just did at noon) opting to use the Water Vapor loop instead.   I call it the use and abuse of the WV.   On the visible loop, you can see a weak low level circulation now over SW Georgia with little weather around it.  This is he same swirl that was NW of ATL yesterday meaning it should be over the Florida panhandle tonight and into the NE Gulf on Tuesday.  All models drift the system SSW and then west on Wednesday & Thursday with several making it a Tropical Storm or Hurricane before reaching the Texas coast on Friday or Saturday. IF this proves correct, those of you heading to the beaches later this week should have no problems.   IF Barry doesn't go too far off the LA/MS. coast, we could receive some much need rainfall & cooling relief Wed-Friday.   This track would be similar to Alicia (1983) which developed into a strong hurricane for Houston.  I see where bloggers are already raising the anxiety levels based solely on the Euro model which is more bullish on development.  Let's say it again,  THERE IS NOTHING THERE YET,  Until something forms and we can track the system, it's way too soon to start talking about impacts for us.  Pay attention time.  Stay tuned!

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