Thursday, July 18, 2019

Sometimes You Need to be Lucky...

Today's shower coverage was only around 20%.  However, those storms developed across the South Shore where 80% of the people in SE LA. reside.   What a difference it means as areas outside those showers soared into the low to mid-90s while those under the cooling showers saw temps drop into the upper 70s.  Look for Friday to see only 20-30% coverage before higher rain chances return (closer to normal 40-50%) for this weekend.  It's next week that gets interesting as models still hint at a cool front sagging near us.  That would increase our clouds and shower chances for sure.  The question then becomes, will there be any spin up along the front that could develop into tropical?    No model really shows that, although the GFS hints at something over the western Gulf next Friday.  Figures since the International Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo kicks off one week from today.   Way too early to get concerned, but it's something I'll be checking on since I've been involved with the Rodeo since 1985.   IF the front makes it down into the Gulf and IF something were to spin up (like Alicia in 1983), it could mean nothing to Rodeo fishermen IF the disturbance does like Alicia and heads westward (away) into Texas.  A lot of IFs there.  Stay tuned!

This Mississippi will maintain a painfully slow fall for the next 7-10 days at the Carrollton gauge and the question becomes...when will the Corps start closing it down?  My guess is they want the level to be under 15 ft. before the closing begins, which looks to be around August 1st.  Hopefully by Mid-August, the level will be down to under 12 feet. 

Went to the Michael Buble' concert last night & learned he is way more than just a singer (although he has great pipes!) and is totally fit for a man his age (43).  The Smoothie King Center was rocking and it was well worth the price of admission.   Looking forward to seeing Queen in August & Cher in December.

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