Saturday, August 31, 2019

Dorian Stays Just Below Cat. 5...

Satellite loops show a classic major hurricane moving slowly edging closer to Florida. He has NOT yet started the expected turn to the north, however, his forward speed is slower hinting the change is coming soon. To be on the safe side, NHC issued Tropical Storm Watches for the northern east coast of Florida late this afternoon. The 10 pm advisory should not contain any surprises.  Since Dorian will be crossing the Gulf Stream Monday, don’t be surprised to see him briefly make Cat. 5.  I’ll still be watching for that north turn tomorrow, but NHC seems confident it will happen.

The system over the southern Gulf is now given a 30% chance for development but should stay over the southern Gulf.  Yet another system off of Africa has been upped to 60% chance to develop. Welcome September, the most active month for Tropical activity. Stay tuned.

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