Cold Air Is Our Friend...

NHC has increased chances for tropical development over the SW Gulf from 50 to 60%, however, we are no longer in August or September, upper wind shear is strong and cooler air has invaded the northern Gulf.

Infrared satellite pictures show clusters of disorganized T-Storms over the SW Gulf, but there appears to be too many negative factors working against development.  Most models keep whatever forms to our south and east keeping the greatest impacts well off our coast.  

Today's rainfall was generally less than 1/2" and we could use more, but my thinking is we stay on the "dry side" of this Gulf low as it will be east side loaded, meaning the heaviest rains and winds will be to the right of the centerline track.   I'm not whining yet, but this is as cold as I want it to be.  I realize cold air kills hurricanes so I'll put on my sweaters and shut my mouth!  Stay tuned!