Thursday, July 2, 2020

Going To Get Wet...

At a time when all the experts are saying the frequency & intensity of storms (hurricanes, rainstorms, tornadoes, hailstorms) will be increasing, I'm amazed at how quiet our Planet has become. The eastern Pacific and Atlantic have no tropical systems, the number of hailstorms are running at record lows, the number of tornadoes are below normal and even the rain events have slacked off. but that may change.

A cluster of storms is moving down from Mississippi, which is NOT the typical summer pattern for us.  The upper level steering is developing an unusually deep trough over the eastern states and that will mean increased rain chances for us.  The tropics are quiet, but with the base of the trough expected to stay over us, we could see several days of strong storms.  NWS even says 5-7" of rain is not out of the question

This is not coming at a good time as it's the July 4th weekend with many planning outdoor events.


Hopefully there will be many dry hours between storms?  It's a typical summertime surface map with the usual heat and high dew points(humidity).  The increase in clouds and showers should mean temps will be less hot.  One thing for us to watch out for is if a cluster of storms does develop and move down into the Gulf, sometimes a weak circulation can develop.   For not, models don't see it.  Stay tuned!

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