Saturday, July 4, 2020

Soon to be "E" Storm

We have swirls, lots of swirls, lots and lots of swirls from the northern Gulf out into the Atlantic.



The swirl farthest to the east off the Carolina coast has been named Depression # 5 and NHC is likely to upgrade it to Tropical (sub-tropical?) Storm Edouard later today.   It will impact Bermuda as it races away from the U.S.  But there is more (as Lee /Zurik likes to say) as we have a boundary extending back westward across the northern Gulf.


One swirl (weak surface circulation) is just east of the Florida beaches with a better defined swirl along the Louisiana coast.  The Euro model suggests one of these disturbances could develop as it moves off or along the east coast of the Carolinas for next week.  So we could easily blow through the E & F (Fay) names before we end the first week in July.  Fortunately, none of these systems will become major storms.  Locally, our threat for the next several days will be slow moving T-Storms that will produce heavy downpours.


We have a weak frontal boundary hung up near us and the usual hot temps and high dew points typically trigger daily storms.  Having the boundary nearby will result in above normal coverage and the weak upper level wind flow will mean slow moving storms that could dump 1-2" in less than a hour.  If training develops, those totals could be much higher so pay attention to your FOX 8 weather app.   Enjoy your holiday weekend and Happy Birthday America!  Stay tuned!