Weather Luck Equals Rocky Mountain High...

While Louisiana was getting hammered by another heavy rain event, I was off enjoying spectacular weather over western Montana.  I journeyed west to celebrate my middle son's (Ryan) 46th Birthday in Missoula.  Along with his older brother (Rob) we visited Glacier National Park (still partly closed due to winter snows) where the bright sunshine and near 80 degree warmth made for delightful hiking. The scenery was fantastic with the mountains (listening to John Denver!), waterfalls and lakes making me feel guilty missing all of the nasty stuff here. (NOT!)

But it's back to reality and I know most of you are sick of all this rain.  There is good news after tomorrow as Friday through Sunday & into next week will dry out and heat up.

The cut off low that is over west Texas will lift to the north while the upper high over the Southeast builds to the west.   As that happens, we are likely to see our first 90+ day maybe as soon as Sunday.

But before we dry out, Thursday will again see several rounds of showers/T-Showers with the potential for another 1-2+" of rain keeping the Flash Flood Watch in effect.  In addition, the brisk SE winds have tides 2-4 feet above normal causing some coastal flooding.

The current band of rain over us into the Lake and North Shore will lift away with another area to our SW approaching before Dawn.  These are upper disturbances and are not associated with any surface features.

You can see the deep flow of Gulf moisture(high dew points) surging all the way to Minneapolis & Chicago.   With the upper ridge over the eastern states, temperatures have warmed up while under the upper trough, the western states are chilly.

I was fortunate to leave Missoula this morning as they are expecting 1-3" of snow !   Yikes, it's late May!  Finally...

It's been a long, boring Winter for NHC and I know they are itching to get the 2021 season started.  They have highlighted an area NE of Bermuda that could take on tropical (warm core) characteristics during the next couple of days.  If so, they would name it Ana.   The GFS flamed out last week on developing a low in the Gulf and I understand the excitement that forecasters want action.  I'm sure action will come, but I rather not get it started so soon.  Stay tuned!