Friday, August 6, 2021

August Lull Continues. But For How Long?

I really have nothing new tonight and wasn't going to post until I saw the 7 PM new NHC outlook update.  They now are highlighting 3 areas to watch, but give none of them much of a chance to develop.




Models remain wishey-washey in trying to form anything and it maybe sometime next week before we have something to follow.   My gut says nothing will develop until it gets closer to us, like in the Bahamas or in the Caribbean.  There is an upper low over the western Caribbean and an old frontal boundary across the northern Gulf, but nothing is happening anywhere.


Each day we stay quiet means the closer we get to those October cold fronts.   The front down over the northern Gulf has basically dissipated as dew points over Nebraska & Iowa are about the same as us.




We stayed dry again with no rain on radar over the whole state of Louisiana..  With such quiet weather, I'm struggling to talk about anything.


And the 7 day becomes meaningless since you know we'll be hot & humid everyday with a spotty T-Storm during daytime heating.   But I did find one small nugget.


The Mississippi River at the Carrollton gage continues to fall and will be below 5 feet as we reach the heart of the hurricane season.  A really strong Hurricane (Betsy, Katrina) backs up the River some 8-10 feet.   If the River was running high (10 feet), such a surge could cause some overtopping of the levees.  But with a low river, that won't be a problem.  Hope you enjoyed our brief Fall preview ( cooler mornings, less humid days) as we're back to basic Summertime for the next 4-6 weeks.  Stay tuned!