Rockies Disturbance May Bring Us Storms...

As Bruce Katz showed us with a rain graphic on his 4 PM program, we really could use some rain as we're over a half foot below normal.  A strong upper disturbance over the Rockies may be just what we need to increase our rain chances.  As it marches to the east, it should bring us another cool front that will stagger through early on Friday.

The upper air graphics are valid for this morning, Friday morning & Saturday morning.  The arrow points out where the main energy is focused.  SPC has the severe threat following the upper system.

The top graphic is valid for today with the next valid for Thursday.  The bottom is valid for Friday bringing the higher threat over us.  However, notice how the daily severe threat weakens for a level 4 today, to a level 3 on Thursday and a level 2 on Friday.  We'll need to pay attention just in case strong storms develop.   I meant to point out May 3, (yesterday) in 1978 we had our first of many "100 year floods" when a weak cold front stalled right over us.  Based on the predicted upper air flow on Saturday morning, (from the NW) this front should push well off out coast giving us a terrific weekend (lower humidity) if you don't mind record breaking heat.

My daughter-in-law (Emily) sent me these pictures after storms around their home in Edmond, OK.

They are called "mammatus" clouds and are often associated with turbulence/strong winds aloft.  keep you eyes out and send me pictures if you see these kinds of clouds here Friday morning.

While the heat is on down south, north of a frontal boundary it's quite chilly in the 40s & 50s.

The battleground today is along that boundary where storms are firing off.  It'll stay heading our way tomorrow reaching us before dawn on Friday.

Thursday should be another dry but humid day with almost hot temperatures.  I watered my lawn & garden today as the sun quickly bakes my flowers and tomato plants.  For you tropical geeks, models are hinting at something trying to form along the Carolina coasts in the 7-10 day time frame.  Stay tuned!