No Tropical Threats, Slow Warming Trend...

I hope you've been enjoying our comfy cool mornings & pleasantly warm afternoons.   We should continue nice through all of this week, except it will be getting slowly warmer each day.  No rain is expected even through another strong front is coming for next weekend.    The remains of Ian will finally leave the Northeast and head out to sea.

You can see how the temperatures respond to the upper pattern.  It's chilly in the East and Rockies under the upper lows while it has warmed up under the ridge.

There are no signs of return flow around the surface high yet, but we do have some higher cirrus clouds streaking in from the SW.

Dew points are still in the 40s & 50s making the air feel delightful.  By Wednesday you'll start to feel almost hot as humidity goes up.  NHC is watching 2 areas way out in the Atlantic.

The 2 swirls I see are an upper low NE of the Islands and a disorganized complex of clouds well east of Barbados.  Models try to develop the southern system in the Caribbean, but if anything forms, it will be forced to stay far to the south and into central America.  By then, our next front will be here blocking the disturbance from moving northward.   I think we're done with the hurricane season along the northern Gulf Coast as these cold fronts have brought water temps down from the mid-upper 80s into the lower 70s.  If we do get a late October storm in the Gulf, it's more likely to be turned to our east as the upper flow increases from the west.  For now, enjoy what we have as I'm going fishing the next couple of days.  Stay tuned!