Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Oops, We Did It Again

To borrow from Britney Spears, Oops, we did it again topping 90+ for the gee zillionth time this Summer.  But were you up really early?  The much lower dew points/drier air allowed over night lows to dip into the 50s North Shore & some 60s on the South Shore.  Not exactly sweater weather, but it's a start to a trend towards lower temps. as we get into Fall.




With few clouds and dry air around, it's been another day without rain.






Fortunately, some storms are drenching parts of the Plains as we need more rainfall up north to flow down river to us.  Those storms are not caused by a cold front, but weak upper disturbances.



Computer models take some of the upper energy over Oklahoma and dive it down into Florida by Friday.  That should trigger some development along the old frontal boundary that could turn into our next named storm (Ophelia) over this weekend.





Farther out to the east, Hurricane Nigel has strengthen to a Cat. 2 (100 mph) and could briefly reach Cat. 3 over night.  It is so far from land that the only impacts are to the shipping lanes.



Besides Nigel, there are no other tropical systems right now.  However, NHC indicates an area coming off of Africa will likely develop later this week.  It could take a more southerly track that could impact the Islands for next week.  For us, it the lingering heat that will continue into the first week of astronomical Fall.




With the Gulf waters still being in the mid to upper 80s, plus no signs of real cold air coming through the next 10-14 days, I have not placed a call into the "Fat Lady" to sing just yet.  I don't think I'll feel really comfortable until we reach mid October.  Stay tuned!








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