Bravo Models! Nailed Timing Of Sunday's Storms

I guess all of us over 40 remember the times BCG? (Before Computer Graphics)  I started in the early 70s with paper maps & grease markers on plexiglass.  No satellite loops either with just a static black & white view many hours old.  Fast forward 50 years and we have computer models predicting weather 16 days in advance!  Sure they're not very accurate that far out, but I'm impressed on how good the accuracy is getting 3-5 days out.  Remember, the main Metairie parade was cancelled on Friday based on the models.

This morning's complex has already cleared the beaches with a weaker disturbance just east of us.  There are several more disturbances out to our west that continue to rotate around the stalled upper low over the SW.

It appears a digging upper trough over the Great Lakes will keep anymore significant rains along our coast or offshore.  The next question becomes, how far down south will the freezing air get?  

We could get into some filtered sunshine tomorrow & Tuesday, but I don't see the clear skies & light wind scenario that would allow temps to dip into the 30s far North Shore.  NWS has pointed out that a Freeze Watch may be needed for southern Mississippi Tuesday morning.  South of Lake P. we will have no plant issues since water temps are back into the 60s. We will need sweaters & jackets before we warm back up late week.

After 1-2" of soaking rainfall today, we need several days to dry up.  Our next rain threat arrives late Thursday into Friday.  Enjoy the coming cool spell.  Stay tuned!