This afternoon's satellite loops are hinting that T-Storms are trying to cluster over the Caribbean. It appears a weak mid level swirl is just off the NE coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua with numerous storms firing off to the east. This is going to be a slow process as the northerly winds over the Gulf will hinder development.
The models have definitely come into better agreement today as to future outcomes, however, there still is NOTHING there yet to track. NHC hasn't even designated an Invest area yet. They have shifted their Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) farther northward over the central Gulf.
The bottom view is the 7 day rainfall totals from the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) that clearly favor a storm over the eastern Gulf. In my last post, I mentioned about staying on the weaker side (usually western) of any storm/hurricane as that lessens any impacts. Since there is nothing there yet, I am not comfortable buying into ANY model solution. Let's continue to pay attention, get any last minute supplies and wait for next week. What are we waiting for?
We are waiting for the western upper trough to shift over the Great Lakes and eastern states. That will start the train of cold fronts coming. Cold fronts tend to steer any tropical threats to our east. Perhaps we'll see one for next weekend?
Look at those colder temps. behind the front! The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) begins tomorrow at 7:43 AM. It's coming Gang! Let's enjoy a Saint's victory (38-31) tomorrow against the Eagles on FOX 8 at noon. Who Dat! Stay tuned!
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