Alvin Almost There, GFS Was Out To Lunch Yesterday

Perhaps by the time I post this, NHC might have named Alvin in the EPAC, as satellite views clearly indicate a rotation in the mid levels.  Or they could start it off as Tropical Depression # 1?  Regardless, it's in the Pacific and is not our concern.  Yesterday the GFS had a named system coming into the southern Gulf in the 10-14 day timeframe.  Today, it has NOTHING!  Computer models have improved greatly over the years, but the further out in time, the UNCERTAINTY increases dramatically.  Relax Gang.

Back over the lower 48, a strange upper pattern has many places locked in with clouds and storms as boundaries are triggering numerous storms.

Summertime storm activity is dominated by daytime heating & weak boundaries/fronts.

That cold front to our north is expected to slowly sag into the Gulf by Friday, bringing us drier air for this weekend.

Some locations received 2-3"+ rainfall this afternoon, causing brief street flooding.  Expect more of the same tomorrow & Friday.

Notice the weekend has no rain, but we have to get through Thursday & Friday first.  Stay tuned!