While golfing at Audubon Park today with Skip Hand & Ron Swoboda, my WSR (World Series Hero) asked if the 90+ degree heat is early this year. Perhaps a little, but once past May 20th, we're supposed to be hot for the next 4 months. What makes us hot during the summer is often the absence of clouds & rain. Today was a perfect example. We had early morning clouds and showers, but after 10 AM it's been sunny, hence very hot as all the storms were far to our east.
So what will change during the next several days? Not much as the upper air pattern has a broad low over the eastern 2/3 of the nation. Look at all the cloudiness it's producing.
Under all the clouds, temperatures are held into the 60s & 70s with no signs of summer heat except along the Gulf coast. Computer models keep predicting rounds of rain will rotate around the upper low, possibly producing some local flooding.
Just remember, models have been struggling with this current upper pattern, especially with timing. I'm golfing again tomorrow. We can't cancel our lives just because it might rain. Let's get to the Tropics, where NHC says Alvin will be named shortly in the EPAC.
As you can see, the Atlantic & Caribbean are clear as we approach June 1st. However, I'm sure some of you saw this morning's GFS run that brings a storm into the Gulf early Monday, June 9th, and heads it towards Texas by Thursday, June 12th.
Should we be worried? C'mon, those of you who have followed me for decades know computer models are notoriously wrong in the 10-14 day time frame. IF you have many model runs that keep showing something similar, then we start paying attention as we have almost reached the 2025 Hurricane Season. For now, it's just one model run (GFS) with no other having anything. Stay calm folks. Finally, my oldest son (Rob) sent me these pics from Albuquerque.
Gosh, the summertime T-Storms can be beautiful if you're looking from afar. Stay tuned!

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