As the satellite presentation continues to show better organization, NHC finally began issuing advisories for Tropical Storm Alvin this morning. His sustained winds are now up to 60 mph and he will approach hurricane strength later today. His track will take him over cooler waters and higher wind shear that will weaken the system before landfall.
In the Atlantic, satellite views show all is quiet.
Of course, the GFS is at it again, bringing a storm into South Florida for the second week in June. I'll be watching for model consensus/consistency before I buy into any future threat. A stubborn upper trough continues to plague the eastern 2/3 of the nation.
Rotating around the trough are spokes of energy that keep triggering rounds of storms. For us, the upper disturbance this morning pushed into Georgia, but the tail end is stuck over us.
IF the upper trough shifts to our east by this weekend, as models are predicting, that should allow the drier/lower dew points behind the front to filter over us. The drier air will make it feel much nicer this weekend. We're on the western edge of the storms this afternoon.
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The nearby storms have kept temps slightly less hot today.
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We have one more day of higher rain chances before we dry out for Saturday & Sunday. All this rain (2.90" in 2 days) has my garden & backyard looking great. But we do need a couple of dry days. Stay tuned!
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