Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Summer Heat Hype Has Begun, Upper High To Keep Weekend Dry.

Like many of you, I've lived here nearly 50 years and totally understand summer heat and what precautions are required to keep one safe. (Hydrate. Hat, Sun Screen)  However, watching all of the local channels, one would think we have never seen summer before.  Looking at the local NWS webpage and you can see why.


If you just look at the chart, what jumps out is the top-most line (heat index) that approaches 100 degrees. Sooo, all the local channels have declared their Alert, Impact, Warning days.  What are they going to do when it really gets hot?  Every day from June through September will be an Alert/Impact day because we're hot, and each day has spotty, heavy T-Storms.  But it's a consultant-driven business that tries to get you to watch instead of going to the streaming channels.  Just my saying.  So here's the setup as to why we will probably see our first 90 of this season.



The main jet stream has retreated farther to the north with an upper ridge across South Texas.  That is where the core of the heat (100+) is.   I don't see that center of the ridge moving over us, hence we might see 90+, but it will not be record heat.



Most of the rain/T-Storms will ride up and over the ridge, keeping us dry.




SPC has issued a level 3 severe outlook well to our north.  The middle is for Thursday, with the bottom valid for Friday.



The average date for our first 90 is May 18th.  We will be slightly earlier than average IF we hit 90 tomorrow.  With nothing but the heat to talk about, I likely won't post for several days.  I'm going to Albuquerque to visit with my two older sons (Rob & Ryan) this weekend. Ryan turns 50 this Sunday.  Stay tuned & stay "cool"!

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