2 Storms In Eastern Pacific , Atlantic Basin Remains Quiet, Models Struggling With Daily Storms

 I saw a graphic on The Weather Channel (TWC) that said the average date for the first named storm in the Atlantic/Gulf/Caribbean Basin is June 20th.  From what I'm seeing, that won't happen this year as the Saharan Dust Layer (SAL) remains strong, killing formation east of the Islands & the EPAC stays very Active.  Let's begin with the Dust later.

The view over Africa shows no Tropical Waves forming yet, so IF we are to get any development this month, it will have to be over the Western Caribbean or southern Gulf.  Typically, when the Eastern Pacific (EPAC) is active, the Atlantic is not.  And the EPAC is active.

The northern storm (Hurricane Barbara) is weakening while the southern system (Cosme) is nearing hurricane strength.  Satellite views of either storm are not impressive, and they will weaken as they move over cooler waters. Back over the United States, a large upper swirl over the Great Lakes continues to bring down chilly air.

Rotating around this low are several disturbances that will enhance our rain chances for the next several days.  Computer models have struggled with the timing, and I have little confidence in their solutions.  It's Summertime in the South.  Always keep the rain gear handy.

It's hard to find the surface front unless you look at the dew points.  North of the front, DPs are in the 40s & 50s (good feel air) while across the South it's the soupy 70s.

By far, the most activity this afternoon is to our north & east.  The few spotty showers around us have not brought much relief from the heat.

At least we were a couple of degrees "cooler" (less hot) than this past weekend.

For the next 3-4 months, unless we have tropical activity or an upper disturbance, it's hot & humid with spotty storms.  No hurricane?  We can deal with the heat!  Stay tuned!