Active Pacific, Quiet Atlantic, What A Difference A Year Makes

I was watching Zack Fradella this morning and he had an interesting graphic comparing last year's hurricane season to this year.  2024 saw 3 early named storms and then we went quiet for two months, including most of August.  But then it went nuts for September into October. 

Looking at models for the next 10-14 days and none (except the GFS) show any development in the Atlantic Basin.  Perhaps this year's first named storm (Andrea) won't come until July?  Does it really matter?  Nah.  Remember the first named storm back in 1992 came in late August.  His name was Andrew, a Cat. 5 Hurricane that changed South Florida for years.  Andrew was responsible for Florida passing the strictest building codes in the nation.  The old adage, it only takes one is correct.  It's not about numbers.  It's about location and INTENSITY.  Satellite views today show how we want the Gulf and Caribbean to look in August & September.

All the tropical activity remains in the Eastern Pacific.  Typically, when the EPAC is active, the Atlantic Basin is quiet.

There actually could be two named storms over there during the next few days.  Back over the U.S., a frontal boundary will sag our way by Monday increasing our rain chances.

South of the front, dew points are 70+, making it feel very like August.

Several folks are getting some cooling relief, but most of us are hot & dry.

Let's hope that surface boundary gets close enough to lower our temperatures for next week.  Sunday should be a repeat before storms arrive on Monday and through most of next week.  Stay tuned!