2025 Hurricane Season Begins, GFS Brings Storm To Louisiana In 12 Days

We enjoy living in Louisiana because of the people, the food & the constant celebrations/festivals of life.  One of the negatives, as we all know, is the yearly hurricane threats.  In reality, in any given year, the chances of a named storm hitting us is less than 10%.  The chances for a hurricane, only 2-3%.  Yet we all get anxious & nervous since we know what a bad storm can do.  So the headline in today's Advocate/Picayune reminds us what time of year we enter.

All the local stations produce Hurricane specials (FOX 8 is on Monday at 6:30 PM) showing us how to get ready.  The simple truth is we must make one of two choices. You either evacuate or you shelter in place.  Let's begin with the second choice, shelter in place (stay home).  Obviously, to do that you have to have enough food, water & supplies (including medications) for at least 10 days.  But more importantly, you have to have the following, beginning with elevation.

That means a second story to go to in case of another levee failure.  If you don't have that second story (a one-story house), your wise choice is to evacuate to higher ground.  But there's more.

You must keep the structural integrity of your house intact.  Translation...keep the wind out. To do that, you need FUNCTIONAL shutters.  Finally, if you have all the supplies to last 7-10 days, you must have power.

I purchased a full-house generator 5 years ago.  I don't run from storms anymore.  I'm safer in my house than getting on the road with heavy traffic.   Your other choice is to flee, but you must know where to go (family, friends) and how to get there.  IF you wait until the last minute, you'll be stuck in gridlock.  If you leave early, the storm might miss us.  Always err on the side of safety.  Being prepared does take some planning, but it's not hard.  Stock up now before a threat gets near so that supermarkets are not swamped.  One model (GFS) keeps trying to form a storm in the Gulf in the 10-12 day timeframe.  No other model does so.  Here's the GFS beginning Tuesday, June 10th, followed by the 11th, 12th & 13th.

Again, only the GFS has this solution.  IF it becomes reality, we'll have a storm threat here during the second week of June.  Since it's still 10-12 days out, I wouldn't get too concerned.  We watch and wait as always.  IF nothing happens, it'll tell us to beware the GFS beyond 7 days.  

Not much is happening over the nation today as a deep East Coast upper trough has brought a front down off the Gulf coast.  It is also bringing down the Canadian smoke from numerous forest fires.

Even though we're near 90 degrees, the dew points are in the 50s & 60s, making it feel OK.  That will change over time as winds return from the SSE later this week.

As moisture increases, we'll see spotty summer storms show up.  No big deal.  In fact, I'm going fishing with Captain Hylton in the morning.  Stay tuned!