2 Pacific Hurricanes, Gabrielle Coming To Atlantic As Tropics Come To Life.

 So far we already have six named storms in the Atlantic Basin and, compared to last year, we are ahead of the pace.  Francine in 2024 didn't develop until September 11th and it appears this year we'll have the G storm before then.  The EPAC also has two Hurricanes that appear likely to impact land areas, but let's start with the Atlantic Basin where we live.

NHC is focusing on the MDR for formation during the next 5-7 days.

Currently, there is still a lot of Saharan Dust pouring off of Africa that will limit future development.  Later this week expect NHC to designate an area an INVEST so that they can start model runs.  Most recent storms have made the curve to the north away from the U.S. and the current pattern in place would do the same.

So what's the problem?  That dang GFS model that brings a strong Hurricane into South Carolina.  Here's two graphics for days 13 & 14 from now.

Hello Charleston, Savannah, Myrtle Beach.  Is it cause for alarm?  Certainly not as tomorrow's run could turn it away.  But it should remind all of us that we should have all our supplies ready as the next 4-6 weeks could get quite active.  It's why I started a podcast this year so you can hear and see "What does Bob think".  It supplements my WVUE Face Book page and you can subscribe at bobbreck.com.

The cost is $2/month or 7 cents a day.  I'll have guests on when the weather is quiet.  Last week we had David Bernard and by signing up, you can go listen to past podcasts.  Give it a try.  For now, the Gulf & Caribbean are quiet as several frontal boundaries linger.

Nothing will form as long as we have the string WNW upper shearing caused by the deep East Coast upper trough.

Really chilly air is showing up behind a REAL cold front that will try and reach us later this week. For now, we're still stuck with 90+.

Now for the Pacific.  Hope you don't have a trip planned for Hawaii?

Hurricane Lorena will weaken before reaching the Baja as a Tropical Storm and Hurricane Kiko should weaken if it goes over colder waters north of Hawaii.  However, it will get close enough to give them some wind, Rain & surf impacts.  We have arrived at the most active time of the year for hurricanes.  In the short term (7-10 days) we have no issues.  Let's just be ready in case something springs up after September 16th.  Tonight's Podcast will expand on why I'm concerned for later this month. Go sign up.  Stay tuned!